METODE PERAMALAN HOLT-WINTERS DENGAN MEMPERHATIKAN EFEK LEBARAN
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Date
2016-02-04
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Abstract
This article discusses the Holt-Winters forecasting method that takes into account
the effect of Eid. This method is used to predict total domestic passenggers departing
in 5 major ports in Indonesia. Then a comparison is carried out between the method
of Holt-Winters and Holt-Winters methods that take into account the effect of Eid.
The comparison is done by comparing the mean square error obtained by both
methods of forecasting.
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Keywords
forecasting, Holt-Winters method, effect of Eid, mean square error