METODE PERAMALAN HOLT-WINTER UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PENGUNJUNG PERPUSTAKAAN UNIVERSITAS RIAU
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Date
2016-02-04
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Abstract
This article discusses the use of numerically Holt-Winter method in predicting the
number of visitors to University of Riau library. This method is divided into two,
additive and multiplicative Holt-Winter methods. Furthermore, the identi cation of
the seasonal variance is carried out to select an appropriate Holt-Winter method and
to measure the forecasting error numerically based on the mean absolute percentage
error.
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Keywords
Holt-Winter method, simple linear regression, trend, seasonal, mean absolute percentage error