METODE PERAMALAN HOLT-WINTER UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PENGUNJUNG PERPUSTAKAAN UNIVERSITAS RIAU

Abstract

This article discusses the use of numerically Holt-Winter method in predicting the number of visitors to University of Riau library. This method is divided into two, additive and multiplicative Holt-Winter methods. Furthermore, the identi cation of the seasonal variance is carried out to select an appropriate Holt-Winter method and to measure the forecasting error numerically based on the mean absolute percentage error.