PEMODELAN UMUR HARAPAN HIDUP PENDUDUK DI PULAU SUMATRA MENGGUNAKAN ANALISIS MODEL SPASIAL DURBIN
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Date
2023-07
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Elfitra
Abstract
Life expectancy is an indicator in measuring government performance in improving the
level of health and well-being of the population of a region. While life expectancy on
Sumatra Island has variable values, the quality of public health is less uniform. These
variations can be caused by several factors such as education, health services, and
economic conditions. Therefore, the government needs to provide further treatment on
Sumatra Island by identifying factors that affect life expectancy. The study used a
Spatial Durbin Model with Queen Contiguity and Rook Contiguity 154 districts/cities
on the island of Sumatra. The variables used in the study were data on life expectancy,
average school age, the percentage of many infants who received complete
immunization, the percent of households having access to decent drinking water, the
proportion of the poor population, the regional gross domestic product in 2021. The
results of the study showed that the best model was the model that used the Queen
Contiguity weighing matrix because it had a smaller AIC value of 365.22. Factors
influencing the life expectancy of the population of Sumatra Island in 2021 using the
durbin spatial model with the Queen weigher are the average age of school, the
percentage of the poor population, and the regional gross domestic product.
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Keywords
Life expectancy, queen contiguity, rook contiguity, spatial durbin model
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