PERAMALAN INFLOW BULANAN UANG KARTAL DI BANK INDONESIA PROVINSI RIAU MENGGUNAKAN METODE SARIMA DAN ETS

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dc.contributor.authorAfifah, Adilla
dc.contributor.supervisorSirait, Haposan
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-30T04:14:36Z
dc.date.available2021-09-30T04:14:36Z
dc.date.issued2021-02
dc.description.abstractThe availability of currency at Bank Indonesia can be reviewed through the inflow of currency known as inflow. This study discusses forecasting monthly currency inflows at Bank Indonesia, Province Riau, where this study uses a univariate time series analysis. The method used in this study is the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and the Seasonal Error Trend (ETS). In the SARIMA method, the best models are SARIMA (1,1,1)(1,2,1)12 and ETS models which produces the best model, namely ETS (M,N,M). The study shows that the best forecast for currency inflow in Province Riau is obtained based on the error rate using the SARIMA methoden_US
dc.description.sponsorshipProgram Studi S1 Statistika Jurusan Matematika Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Riauen_US
dc.identifier.otherwahyu sari yeni
dc.identifier.urihttps://repository.unri.ac.id/handle/123456789/10232
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.subjectInflowen_US
dc.subjecttime seriesen_US
dc.subjectforecastingen_US
dc.subjectseasonal autoregressive integrated moving averageen_US
dc.subjecterror trend seasonalen_US
dc.titlePERAMALAN INFLOW BULANAN UANG KARTAL DI BANK INDONESIA PROVINSI RIAU MENGGUNAKAN METODE SARIMA DAN ETSen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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