Abstract:
This article discusses the forecasting methods using the ARIMA model based on
the year Masehi and Hijriah. This method is used to predict the price of oil palm
FFB in Riau Province. In the discussion of this method there are several models,
namely the model (i) ARIMA(2, 1, 0)(1, 1, 1)52, (ii) ARIMA(1, 1, 1)(1, 1, 1)52 and
(iii) ARIMA(2, 1, 1)(1, 1, 1)52. After the ARIMA models of the year Masehi and
Hijriah are obtained, then an ARIMA model is selected, that is the one which has
the smallest MSE value.