Abstract:
Forecasting selling prices helps to plan for the future so that the price of free-range
chicken meat on farms can optimize existing conditions for calculations during one
harvest. Decision support systems can help make the right decisions where calculations
and planning can be done better and more efficiently.The making of a domestic chicken
selling price forecasting system aims to predict the selling price of native chicken at
Agung Farm and design a system that can help determine the selling price of native
chicken using the Triple Exponential Smoothing method. Calculations using the Triple
Exponential Smoothing method will be able to analyze several factors that can be known
about an event in the future with the time of the previous event. The system design stage
has three diagrams such as use cases, class diagrams, and sequence diagrams. The
forecasting results using Triple Exponential Smoothing method for the selling price of
free-range chicken at Agung Farm, which is found at alpha 0.1 with a selling price of Rp.
38.198 and MAPE 4.9%.
