Abstract:
Tourism is an industrial economic phenomenon that is experiencing rapid
development for the economy. Tourists need transportation to travel to the places
they want to visit. This study aims to determine the right model for development
of the number of tourists visiting Pekanbaru City via air transportation at Sultan
Syarif Kasim II airport and forecasting the development of the number of tourists
in the coming year. The data used comes from BPS Riau Province with the
variable number of tourist arrivals in 2012-2019. The results of this study
indicate that fluctuations occur every year and have a seasonal data pattern. The
Holt-Winters Additive Exponential forecasting method is more effective to use
because the resulting error value is minimal.
