Abstract:
Prediction is an important tool in effective and efficient planning. Prediction a projection
or an uncertain estimated level of events in the future by using past data where scientific
data will be analyzed specifically by using statistical method. PT Sinar Reksa Kencana a
State-Owned palm oil sales. The availability of palm oil sales is very important to fill the
needs of the people in companies. Palm oil supplies are managed to anticipate uncertainty
in the demand and availability of palm oil in the event of crop failure in the palm oil
supply area. Therefore, prediction using the double exponential smoothing method is an
activity to make an improvement in prediction by averaging or smoothing the value of
actual data obtained from past data in an exponential manner continuously. The results
obtained from this study are the results of prediction using the double exponential
smoothing method and the level of accuracy with MAD and MSE errors.